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Canada Inflation Rate: CPI Trend, Provinces and History

Updated

Canada’s inflation rate was 3.1% in September 2026, after 3.0% in August, Statistics Canada reported on October 19, 2026. That is how much higher the consumer price index (CPI) was than a year earlier. The next figure comes out on November 16, 2026. What the CPI measures and how it is built are on the consumer price index page.

What did the latest inflation report show?

September 2026Value
Consumer price index (2002=100)170.0
Change over 12 months3.1%
Change over 12 months, August 20263.0%
Change from the month before0.1%
Change from the month before, seasonally adjusted0.4%
Energy, change over 12 months19.0%
All items excluding gasoline2.2%
All items excluding food and energy2.1%
CPI-trim1.8%
CPI-median1.9%
CPI-common2.4%

Gasoline led the rise: excluding gasoline, prices were up 2.2%. Smaller increases for travel tours and groceries held the rate back. CPI-trim, CPI-median and CPI-common are the Bank of Canada’s preferred measures of core inflation, which look through short-lived swings in prices to show the underlying trend; the consumer price index page explains each one.

How does it compare with the Bank of Canada’s target?

The Bank of Canada aims to keep inflation at 2%, the middle of a target range of 1% to 3%, measured as the change in the total CPI over a year. The rate was above the top of that range in 2 of the past twelve months. The Bank and the federal government renew the target for 5-year periods, and the Bank says a review is under way and the target will be renewed in 2026. How the Bank uses its policy rate to steer inflation is on the Bank of Canada rate page.

What is pushing prices up?

CategoryWeight in CPI BasketSeptember 2026 Annual ChangeContribution to Headline Rate
Alcoholic beverages, tobacco products, recreational cannabis3.73%1.6%0.06%
Clothing and footwear4.5%1.7%0.08%
Food16.93%2.2%0.37%
Health and personal care5.4%1.7%0.09%
Household operations, furnishings and equipment12.8%0.4%0.05%
Recreation, education and reading9.81%4.6%0.45%
Shelter28.3%1.8%0.51%
Transportation18.54%8.4%1.56%

Source: Statistics Canada CPI basket weights and the September 2026 monthly release. Energy (a special aggregate spanning transportation fuel and household energy, not a standalone basket category) rose 19% year-over-year.

The contribution column is our approximation: each part’s weight in the basket times its price change. Energy prices were up 19.0% and gasoline 27.8% over the year. Fuel oil rose 57.8%, which hit Atlantic Canada hardest because more homes there heat with it. Rent was up 2.8% and food bought in stores 1.7%; grocery prices are covered on the grocery bill page, and tariffs on the tariffs and prices page.

Inflation by province

Province12-month change, September 2026
Prince Edward Island5.7%
Nova Scotia5.6%
New Brunswick5.0%
Newfoundland and Labrador4.7%
Manitoba4.4%
Alberta3.6%
Saskatchewan3.3%
Quebec3.1%
British Columbia3.0%
Ontario2.5%
Canada3.1%

Prices rose fastest in Prince Edward Island and slowest in Ontario. Statistics Canada noted that inflation picked up in five provinces in September 2026, mainly because of gasoline and fuel oil, and that rent rose fastest in Atlantic Canada. Rates for cities are on the consumer price index page.

Monthly inflation rate, last two years

Month12-month change in the CPI
September 20263.1%
August 20263.0%
July 20263.0%
June 20262.8%
May 20263.2%
April 20262.8%
March 20262.4%
February 20261.8%
January 20262.3%
December 20252.4%
November 20252.2%
October 20252.2%
September 20252.4%
August 20251.9%
July 20251.7%
June 20251.9%
May 20251.7%
April 20251.7%
March 20252.3%
February 20252.6%
January 20251.9%
December 20241.8%
November 20241.9%
October 20242.0%

Over these two years the rate peaked at 3.2% in May 2026 and was as low as 1.7%. Each figure compares a month’s index with the same month a year earlier.

Inflation rate by year

YearInflationYearInflationYearInflation
19904.8%20022.3%20141.9%
19915.6%20032.8%20151.1%
19921.5%20041.9%20161.4%
19931.9%20052.2%20171.6%
19940.2%20062.0%20182.3%
19952.1%20072.1%20191.9%
19961.6%20082.4%20200.7%
19971.6%20090.3%20213.4%
19981.0%20101.8%20226.8%
19991.7%20112.9%20233.9%
20002.7%20121.5%20242.4%
20012.5%20130.9%20252.1%

These are annual average rates: the average index for each year compared with the year before. In the table above, the highest was 6.8% in 2022 and the lowest 0.2% in 1994. Over the ten years to 2025, prices rose by an average of 2.6% a year. To see what a past amount is worth today, use the inflation calculator.

Annual inflation rate, earlier years
YearInflationYearInflationYearInflation
19152.1%19404.2%19652.3%
19169.0%19416.0%19663.8%
191718.0%19424.6%19673.6%
191813.1%19432.2%19684.1%
19199.5%19440.6%19694.6%
192016.3%19450.6%19703.3%
1921-12.1%19463.1%19712.7%
1922-7.8%19479.0%19725.0%
19230.0%194814.3%19737.5%
1924-1.9%19493.5%197411.0%
19251.2%19502.7%197510.7%
19260.7%195110.5%19767.5%
1927-1.4%19522.6%19778.0%
19280.7%1953-1.0%19789.0%
19291.0%19540.7%19799.1%
1930-1.0%19550.2%198010.1%
1931-9.9%19561.4%198112.5%
1932-9.4%19573.3%198210.8%
1933-4.4%19582.4%19835.9%
19341.2%19591.2%19844.3%
19350.5%19601.4%19854.0%
19362.1%19611.0%19864.2%
19373.6%19621.1%19874.4%
19380.5%19631.6%19884.0%
1939-0.8%19641.9%19895.0%

The highest annual rate in these years was 18.0% in 1917.

When is the next inflation report?

CPI forRelease date
October 2026November 16, 2026
November 2026December 14, 2026
December 2026January 18, 2027
January 2027February 16, 2027
February 2027March 15, 2027

What do forecasters expect?

In its Monetary Policy Report, October 2026, the Bank of Canada projected inflation to average 2.9% in 2026, 3.1% in 2027 and 2.2% in 2028. It said inflation is higher and more persistent than it expected in July, because energy prices are staying high for longer and businesses are passing on more of their rising costs. Its next forecast comes with its next Monetary Policy Report on January 27, 2027.

Why do prices feel higher than the inflation rate?

The inflation rate measures how fast prices are changing, not how high they are. When it falls, prices usually keep rising, just more slowly, and each year’s rise builds on the last. Over two years to September 2026 prices rose 5.5%, and over three years 7.3%. Grocery prices are a clear case: their yearly increase slowed, yet they were 33.0% higher than in September 2020. Wages don’t always keep up with prices, and when they fall behind, households feel it. The CPI also tracks an average household’s basket, so your own rate depends on what you buy; Statistics Canada’s personal inflation calculator works out a rate from your own spending.

Sources

The figures and rules on this page come from these sources, last checked against them between September 24, 2026 and October 26, 2026. How we check facts.