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Hedged vs Unhedged ETFs in Canada: Currency Risk and Cost Comparison

Updated

Currency risk is real — but for most long-term Canadian investors, the cost of eliminating it exceeds the cost of accepting it.

What you are exposed to with an unhedged US ETF

When you hold VFV (or any unhedged US equity ETF) in a Canadian account, your stated CAD value = USD value of US stocks × CAD/USD rate. Both inputs vary. On a given day:

  • US stocks up 1%, CAD stable → your account is up 1%
  • US stocks up 1%, CAD strengthens 1% → your account is roughly flat
  • US stocks flat, CAD weakens 2% → your account is up 2%

Over time, both effects average out, but year-to-year volatility is higher with an unhedged position.

Cost summary: hedged vs unhedged

Factor Unhedged (VFV) CAD-hedged (VSP)
MER (2026 approximate) 0.09% 0.09%
Carry/roll cost of hedge None ~0.10–0.30%/yr
Tracking difference vs benchmark Lower Higher (hedge drag)
CAD/USD exposure Full Eliminated
Best for Long-term accumulators Near-term withdrawals

Hedged ETF annualized drag (estimated, rolling 10-year periods)

Scenario Unhedged total return Hedged total return Estimated drag
USD appreciates (USD stronger) Higher Lower -0.5% to -1.5%/yr vs unhedged
USD depreciates (CAD stronger) Lower Higher +0.5% to +1.0%/yr vs unhedged
USD/CAD flat (rare) Equal Hedge cost ~-0.10 to -0.30%/yr

Natural hedge rationale

Canadian investors holding domestic equities (TSX) already have implicit commodity/CAD exposure. Adding unhedged US equities creates a natural offset: when oil falls (TSX down, CAD down), unhedged US equity values rise in CAD terms. This correlation structure reduces overall portfolio volatility compared to a fully hedged international allocation.

Decision summary

Investor situation Recommendation
Accumulating, 20+ year horizon Unhedged (VFV, XUS, ZSP)
5–10 years to retirement Consider partial hedge or mix
Within 5 years of retirement Hedging worth evaluating
Scheduled large withdrawal within 2 years Consider hedging that specific slice
Highly sensitive to CAD value swings Hedging may improve behaviour